In the Asian session, the EUR/USD pair consolidated after a decline and traded mostly in a narrow range of 1.1366–1.1357. The market positively assessed the comments of US Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, who noted that trade negotiations with representatives of the PRC are going very productively and the parties intend to make every effort to conclude a big trade deal before the beginning of March. Mnuchin will lead the US delegation, which will go to Beijing next week for a new round of trade negotiations. The dollar was under pressure from comments by former Fed Head, Janet Yellen, who supposed that the regulator could lower the interest rate in the event of a weakening global economic growth. Yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not contain new information on monetary policy. He noted only that in the next decade, the United States will face an increase in the gap in the level of citizens' well-being and urged to fight it.

Today, there should be a meeting between British Prime Minister Theresa May and EU officials to discuss changes in the terms of the Brexit deal. Its results can cause significant volatility in the market.


During the Asian session, the pair GBP/USD was traded within the narrow range 1.2935–1.2925. In addition to negotiations between representatives of the UK and the EU in Brussels, investors are preparing for the meeting of the Bank of England. The rate is expected to remain at the same level of 0.75%. Probably, under conditions of uncertainty with Brexit, the British regulator will not accept any change in monetary policy. However, Mark Carney can share his vision of the economic situation and action plans of the Bank of England in the event of a tough Brexit.


The AUD/USD pair continued declining at the Asian session and is now trading at 0.7093. Yesterday's comments from the head of the RBA, Philip Lowe, continue to exert pressure on the Australian currency. The official said that he had previously assumed a further increase in interest rates, but now the position of the regulator has become more balanced. Investors interpreted these words as a hint at the possibility of reducing the rate. Currently, trade tensions, slowing global growth and the weakness of the Australian construction market contribute to this.


In the Asian session, the USD/JPY quotes had ambiguous dynamics. After the decrease to the level of 109.71, the price won back most of the losses and is now at the level of 109.95. Japanese investors follow the news of the US-China trade negotiations and are encouraged by the latest statements by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on the parties' desire to conclude a deal before the beginning of March. On the other hand, pressure on the yen is exerted by weak data on the Leading Index. The indicator has been falling for the third month in a row reaching the level of 97.9 points in February, making the lowest indicator since April 2016.


Quotes of gold in the Asian session continued to decline and are now trading at 1304.75. The weakening of the price is due to the prospects for the US and China to reach a trade deal.

Morning Market Review

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