Current trend

During last week the pair EUR/USD was grown rapidly. European currency gained over 150 points due to the tension over the situation in Greece and the US Fed report on the interest rates. We wonder if this positive dynamics for the Euro will continue this week.

The answer to this and many other questions will be given by the resolution of the Greek issue. As part the meeting of Eurogroup, scheduled for 22 June, the leaders of EU will have a special summit with the participation of the German Chancellor Angela Merkel and prime-minister of Greece Mr. Tsipras. The stakes are high but it is unclear if the parties will finally reach the agreement.

Among macro-economic news scheduled for the release this week, traders shall pay special attention to the business activity index in the service and manufacturing sectors of France and Germany (Tuesday, 10:00 GMT+3), and those of Eurozone as a whole (Tuesday 11:00 GMT+3). The index will have a strong impact on the price of Euro; therefore, if the index is positive, price  of Euro will go up.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart the price has tested the highs of the week before last and is now trying to consolidate above the level of 1.1386. The line of the Moving Average indicator with the periods of 20 and 50 are below the current price level. They go up, which confirms positive trend for the pair. The nearest resistance level is the highs of last month (1.1467).  The nearest support level is the line EMA20 (1.1295).

Trading tips

It is recommended to open long positions after consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1386 with the target of 1.1460 and protective order of 1.1295.

As an alternative scenario it is possible to open short positions after consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1295 take profit of 1.1215 and stop-loss at 1.1386.

 EUR/USD: forecast for the week




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