The European currency is falling significantly against the US dollar at the end of this trading week. The pair decrease was triggered yesterday, when the Fed released its interest rate decision and stated the future prospects of the US economy. Experts are still waiting for a rate increase later this year, probably in September.
On Thursday, positive US GDP statistics supported the demand for the US currency. In the second quarter GDP grew by 2.3% against the growth of 0.6% in the previous quarter.
Today the euro may gain back its losses if EU releases positive Consumer Price Index statistics. For example, German Inflation Rate, due this Thursday, showed a slowdown to a 5-month low level.
Support and resistance
Bollinger Bands on the daily chart indicate flat dynamics in the medium term. Bands are almost horizontal. The pair is near the middle MA. It is recommended to wait for new trading signals.
MACD is trying to turn down. But on Friday, as weak upward dynamics has appeared this morning, the further bearish trend remains in question. We should wait for a clearer situation.
Stochastic is declining steadily and has almost reached the border of the oversold zone. The indicator recommends to keep opened short positions but not to hurry with placing new orders. An upward correction is possible.
Support levels: 1.0914 (7 July low), 1.0900 (near the current low), 1.0865 and 1.0808 (20 July low).
Resistance levels: 1.0970, 1.1000 (strong psychological level), 1.1035, 1.1100, 1.1129 (27 July local high).
When the price breaks through 1.1000 and bounces off this level, open long positions (with the appropriate indicators signals) with take-profit at 1.1100-1.1129 and stop-loss at 1.0900.
Alternatively, the pair may return to the strong downward movement and break through 1.0900. In this case, open short positions with the target at 1.0800 and stop-loss at 1.0970.